Keith R.A. DeCandido (kradical) wrote,
Keith R.A. DeCandido
kradical

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Schott's Miscellany 24 January 2009

Lobster thermidor first served, in Paris (1894)


PANDEMIC SEVERITY INDEX

In February 2007, the US government released guidelines to help cities and states prepare for a flu pandemic. The guidelines included a Pandemic Severity Index designed to help officials predict the severity of an outbreak (based on early cases) and enact appropirate "mitigation strategies." All future pandemics in the US will be assigned one of these five categories:

Cat.case fatality *excess death rate **potential no. deathsUS 20thC experience
1<0.1<30<90,000seasonal influenza
20.1-0.530-15090,000-450,0001957 & 1968
30.5-1.0150-300450,000-900,000none
41.0-2.0300-600900,000-1.8milnone
5>2.0>600>1.8mil1918


* The proportion of deaths among the critically ill.
** The rateof death per 10,000 people compared to the normal "nonpandemic" rate.
[Source: US Department of Health & Human Services, 2007]


Give me but one firm spot on which to stand, and I will move the earth.
Archimedes (c.287-212 BCE)
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